By Howard Berkes
Audio for this story will be available at approx. 9:00 a.m. ET
Morning Edition, June 11, 2007
Analysis: Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg and Republican political analyst Bill Greener analyze the new poll of likely rural voters.
A new national poll indicates rural Americans are no longer reliably Republican, and the Bush administration's conduct of the war in Iraq seems mainly to blame.
People from the nation's smallest places had the biggest impact in the last two presidential elections. President Bush's dominance in rural counties is credited with giving him his winning margins in both 2000 and 2004.
But the new survey, of 804 likely voters living beyond cities and suburbs, indicates that the Republican formula for winning presidential elections is losing a key component.